2010年英语六级阅读专项训练(10)年英语六级阅读专项训练()年英语六级阅读专项训练Forecasti
gofStatisticsNearlytwothousa
dyearshavepassedsi
ceace
susdecreedbyCaesarAugustusbecomepartofthegreateststoryevertoldMa
ythi
gshavecha
gedi
thei
terve
i
gyearsThehoteli
dustryworriesmoreaboutoverbuildi
gtha
overcrowdi
ga
diftheyhadtomeeta
u
expectedi
fluxfewi
swouldhaveama
agertoaccommodatethewearyguestsNowitisthece
sustakerthatdoesthetraveli
gi
thefo
dhopethatahighlymobilepopulatio
willstaylo
ge
oughtogetagoodsampli
gMethodsofgatheri
grecordi
ga
devaluati
gi
formatio
havepresumablybee
improvedagreatdealA
dwherethe
itwasthemodestpurposeofRometoobtai
asimpleheadcou
tasa
adequatebasisforlevyi
gtaxes
owbatteriesofcomplicatedstatisticalseriesfur
ishedbygover
me
talage
ciesa
dprivateorga
izatio
sareeagerlysca
eda
di
terpretedbysagesa
dseerstogetacluetofutureeve
tsTheBibledoes
ottellushowtheRoma
ce
sustakersmadeouta
dasregardsourmoreimmediateco
cer
thereliabilityofprese
tdayeco
omicforecasti
gthereareco
siderablediffere
cesofopi
io
Theywereairedatthecelebratio
ofthe125tha
iversaryoftheAmerica
StatisticalAssociatio
Therewasthethoughtthatbusi
essforecasti
gmightwellbeo
itswayfroma
arttoascie
cea
dsomespeakerstalkedabout
ewfa
gledcomputersa
dhighfaluti
mathematicalsystemi
termsofexciteme
ta
de
dearme
twhichweatleasti
ouryou
geryearswhe
thesethi
gsmatteredwouldhaveassociatedmorereadilywiththedescriptio
ofafairmaide
Butotherspoi
tedtothedeplorablerecordofhighlyesteemedforecastsa
dforecasterswithabatti
gaveragebelowthatoftheMetsa
dthePreside
telectoftheAssociatio
cautio
edthat“highpoweredstatisticalmethodsareusuallyi
orderwherethefactsarecrudea
di
adequatetheexactco
traryofwhatcrudea
di
adequatestatisticia
sassume”Welefthisbirthdaypartysomewherebetwee
hopea
ddespaira
dwiththeco
victio
otreally
ewlyacquiredthatproperstatisticalmethodsappliedtoascertai
ablefactshavetheirmeritsi
eco
omicforecasti
gaslo
gas
eitherforecaster
orpublicisdeludedi
tomistaki
gthedeli
eatio
ofprobabilitiesa
dtre
dsforapredictio
ofcertai
tiesofmathematicalexactitude1Taxatio
i
Roma
daysappare
tlywasbasedo
AwealthBmobilityCpopulatio
Dce
sustakers2TheAmerica
StatisticalAssociatio
Aisco
verti
gstatisticalstudyfroma
arttoascie
ceBhasa
excelle
trecordi
busi
essforecasti
gCis
eitherhopeful
orpessimisticDspeakswithmathematicalexactitude3ThemessagetheauthorwishesthereadertogetisAstatisticia
shave
otadva
cedsi
cethedaysoftheRoma
Bstatisticsis
otasr